The Numbers Game

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The Numbers Game

First off, I’d like to apologize for the ‘vote solicitations’ for the National TV Contest. This is not something I feel comfortable with and judging by the loss of a few FB followers today, it’s not popular with people in general.

That said, this contest is huge, and vote solicitation is encouraged. As mentioned on the contest home page, there are hundreds of thousands of photographers eligible and each one can submit up to 3 photos. To be conservative, let’s go with 100,000 photographers at 3 photos each, for a total of 300,000 submissions.

There’s no way a judge can be expected to go through that many images, so there has to be a way to weed out all but a select few. Now, considering that this contest is an advertising campaign for Fine Art America, we have to ask, “who do we want in the finals?”

It would make sense they’d want artists who have a large following and/or the ability to promote to the masses…hence the high threshold of 250 votes needed to get to the final stage.

Now, what would it take to get to 250 votes. Here’s where we start making lots of assumptions. Based on FB statistics, posts generally get seen by 16% of your followers. My numbers might show a bit higher, but 16% is a good number to work with. Based on my post today, I saw the following:

a) 15% of the people reached, viewed a photo on the voting site
b) 3% of the people reached, voted for my leading vote getter

Given that post effectiveness tends to deteriorate over time, let’s cut that number by a third to get a conservative estimate of votes to people reached.

Based on those numbers, I need to get my post seen by 15,000 people in order to get to 250 votes. Considering I currently have approximately 1,400 followers, this is going to be a real challenge.

What does this mean? It means I need a lot of help. Any help you can provide, whether it be voting, sharing my FB post, commenting on the FB post (brings it back to the top of the newsfeed), etc. would be greatly appreciated.

Lastly, I ask that you bear with me. This is a promotion campaign that will last for a couple of weeks, and it will be over. I’ll still be doing my regular posts during this time, but I am going to do what I can to try and get at least one photo into the finals.